Alternative Investments

Construction Industry Trends 2018 Q2

Some of our clients are in construction therefore we are often made aware of early trends in that industry.  Taken together with client information provided to us from other areas/industries, insights can be gained into what is happening in the national economy. Construction is a broad industry encompassing the building, maintaining, and repairing structures.   Construction also includes general contractors engaged in heavy construction other than buildings, such as highways and streets, bridges, sewers, railroads  and flood control projects and marine construction. We also include special trade contractors who undertake activities that are specialized either to building construction, including work on…

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Alternative Investments, Decision Making

Bank of America says “The greatest bubble in history is popping.” How did this happen?

Obviously I’m not the only one that has noticed the bubbleistic traits of cryptocurrencies. Clients have been asking my opinion too.  So here goes. The Bitcoin cryptocurrency is tracking the downfalls of the other legendary asset-price bubbles in history. In less than one year since its record high.  This is what Bank of America Chief Investment Strategist Michael Hartnett wrote to his investors on Sunday. I’ve written before about the dangers of the more-or-less average (yet affluent) retail investor participating in this market. Average meaning less than, say, a few million in investable assets. The cryptocurrency has fallen more than…

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Alternative Investments

Hyde Park Angels Survey of 2017 Venture Capital Investing

Over the years, Chicago and the Midwest has attempted to grow its technology ecosystem.  This includes creating a friendly environment for startups and increasing the availability of venture capital.   Growing the ecosystem in the region has taken the form of government support (e.g. angel investing tax breaks in Wisconsin, incubator funding such as for 1871, etc.) and private efforts.   It always was that the entrepreneurs in Chicago complained there wasn’t enough venture capital available and the VCs complained there was a lack of good investable startups.  A Catch-22 it seemed.   I thought that the risk-adverse Midwestern culture was…

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Alternative Investments

Tech Trends 2018 Q1

Technology is a broad category that encompasses a wide ranging type of companies, everything from software to telecommunications to internet to biotech.  These businesses can be intangible whether software or processes or something physical.  They carry substantial technology-product and market risk.  Technology companies are characterized by disruption  and innovation. There is so much going on in technology that we can only barely begin to discuss trends. In an age of digital disruption, technology companies face increasing pressure to improve time to market and ensure their offerings are best in class.  “Buy, build, partner” models and M&A strategies can help companies…

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Alternative Investments

Cryptocurrencies du jour

When what may be the world’s foremost Banana Republic starts using a form of cryptocurrencies to raise money to finance itself you know there may be something of a bubble going on. The petro is Venezuela’s new cryptocurrency utilizing blockchain technology.  Supposedly backed by oil.  Maybe that’s just in name only.  It’s backed by oil in the sense that the Venezuelan government pegs the petro the price of oil.  You can’t exchange a petro for any actual oil.  The petro is only available from the Venezuelan government in U.S. dollars.  So the average Venezuelan cannot actually buy it since they…

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Alternative Investments

Early Stage Company Fund Raising – Initial Coin Offerings and the SEC

I’ve mentored and advised many startup and early-stage companies over the years.  The most common issue I’ve been asked to help with is fundraising.  In fact, the majority of companies that approach me to solicit help (or an organization I’m associated with) seeks a solution for this one single problem.   Often they want me to call colleagues and my network to make a direct connection with an implied recommendation. So many companies are trying to raise money.  I cannot help them all.  It is impossible.  And some shouldn’t get funding anyway.  So I have a policy.  I will provide general…

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Decision Making

Warren Buffett just released his annual shareholder letter (Feb 2018). Here is my take-away.

Here are some highlights (what I think are highlights, others may focus on other items) from Buffet’s usually iconic annual letter to shareholders. Last year was an eventful one for Warren Buffet.  A succession plan may be in the process of being implemented as two individuals were promoted to vice chairman in January 2018.  Natural disasters harmed the insurance business.  Plus, perhaps most importantly especially for the economy at large, Buffet joined with Amazon and Chase to start a health care program for employees. The new tax reform bill passed by congress helped Berkshire Hathaway in the last part of…

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